US Extreme Weather and Climate Change Dashboard

A project by Roger Pielke Jr., author of The Honest Broker

Bibliography

Roger Pielke Jr.'s books and peer-reviewed publications most directly relevant to this dashboard's subject — storms, hurricanes and tropical cyclones, floods, wildfire, tornado climatology, and disaster-loss normalization. Not an exhaustive CV; see The Honest Broker for ongoing writing on these and other topics.

Books

Pielke Jr., R.A. (2018). The Rightful Place of Science: Disasters and Climate Change. 2nd edition, fully revised. Consortium for Science, Policy & Outcomes, Arizona State University.
Pielke Jr., R.A., Pielke Sr., R.A. (editors) (2000). Storms. Natural Hazards & Disasters Major Works, 2 volumes (London: Routledge Press).
Pielke Jr., R.A., Pielke Sr., R.A. (1997). Hurricanes: Their Nature and Impacts on Society. London: John Wiley and Sons Press.

Peer-reviewed publications

Hurricanes & Tropical Cyclones

Pielke Jr., R. (2025). Do Not Use the ICAT Hurricane Loss "Dataset": An Opportunity for Course Correction in Climate Science. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 64(4).
Weinkle, J., Landsea, C., Collins, D., Musulin, R., Crompton, R.P., Klotzbach, P.J., Pielke Jr., R.A. (2018). Normalized hurricane damage in the continental United States 1900–2017. Nature Sustainability, 1, 808–813.
Weinkle, J., Pielke Jr., R. (2017). The Truthiness about Hurricane Catastrophe Models. Science, Technology, & Human Values, 42, 547–576.
Weinkle, J., Maue, R., Pielke Jr., R. (2012). Historical Global Tropical Cyclone Landfalls. Journal of Climate, 25(13), 4729–4735.
Crompton, R.P., Pielke Jr., R.A., McAneney, K.J. (2011). Emergence timescales for detection of anthropogenic climate change in US tropical cyclone loss data. Environmental Research Letters, 6, 014003.
Pielke Jr., R.A., Collins, D., Crompton, R.P., Klotzbach, P.J., Musulin, R., Weinkle, J. (2020). Reply to: Improving normalized hurricane damages. Nature Sustainability, 3, 519.
Pielke Jr., R.A. (2009). United States Hurricane Landfalls and Damages: Can One to Five Year Predictions Beat Climatology?. Environmental Hazards, 8(3), 187–200.
Pielke Jr., R.A., Gratz, J., Landsea, C.W., Collins, D., Saunders, M.A., Musulin, R. (2008). Normalized Hurricane Damage in the United States: 1900–2005. Natural Hazards Review, 9(1), 29–42.
Pielke Jr., R.A. (2007). Future Economic Damage from Tropical Cyclones: Sensitivity to Social and Climatic Changes. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 365(1860), 1–13.
Pielke, R.A., Landsea, C., Mayfield, M., Laver, J., Pasch, R. (2005). Hurricanes and global warming. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 86(11), 1571–1575.
Pielke Jr., R.A., Rubiera, J., Landsea, C., Fernandez, M.L., Klein, R. (2003). Hurricane Vulnerability in Latin America and the Caribbean: Normalized Damage and Loss Potentials. Natural Hazards Review, 4(3), 101–114.
Pielke Jr., R.A., Landsea, C.W. (1999). La Niña, El Niño, and Atlantic hurricane damages in the United States. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 80(10), 2027–2033.
Landsea, C.W., Pielke Jr., R.A., Mestas-Nuñez, A.M., Knaff, J.A. (1999). Atlantic Basin Hurricanes: Indices of Climatic Changes. Climatic Change, 42, 89–129.
Pielke Jr., R.A. (1997). Reframing the U.S. hurricane problem. Society and Natural Resources, 10(5), 485–499.
Pielke Jr., R.A., Landsea, C.W. (1998). Normalized Hurricane Damages in the United States: 1925–95. Weather and Forecasting, 13(3), 621–631.
Pielke Jr., R.A., Pielke Sr., R.A. (2003). Hurricane as an Extreme Meteorological Event. Chapter 42 in Handbook of Weather, Climate, and Water (T.D. Potter, B.R. Colman, eds), John Wiley & Sons.
Pielke Jr., R.A. (2003). Reducing Vulnerability. In Hurricane! Coping with Disaster (R. Simpson, R. Anthes, M. Garstang, J. Simpson, eds), AGU Special Publications 55, pp. 165–173.
Pielke Jr., R.A., Pielke Sr., R.A. (1997). Vulnerability to Hurricanes Along the U.S. Atlantic and Gulf Coasts: Considerations of the Use of Long-Term Forecasts. In Hurricanes: Climatic Change and Socioeconomic Impacts: A Current Perspective (H. Diaz, R. Pulwarty, eds), Springer-Verlag, pp. 147–184.

Floods

Pielke Jr., R.A., Downton, M.W. (2000). Precipitation and damaging floods: Trends in the United States, 1932–97. Journal of Climate, 13(20), 3625–3637.
Downton, M., Pielke Jr., R.A. (2005). How Accurate are Disaster Loss Data? The Case of U.S. Flood Damage. Natural Hazards, 35, 211–228.
Downton, M., Miller, J.Z.B., Pielke Jr., R.A. (2005). Reanalysis of the U.S. National Weather Service Flood Loss Database. Natural Hazards Review, 6(1), 13–22.
Pielke Jr., R.A., Klein, R. (2005). Distinguishing Tropical Cyclone-Related Flooding in U.S. Presidential Disaster Declarations: 1964–1997. Natural Hazards Review, 6(2), 55–59.
Downton, M., Pielke Jr., R.A. (2001). Discretion Without Accountability: Politics, Flood Damage, and Climate. Natural Hazards Review, 2(4), 157–166.
Pielke Jr., R.A. (1999). Nine Fallacies of Floods. Climatic Change, 42, 413–438.
Pielke Jr., R.A. (1999). Who decides? Forecasts and responsibilities in the 1997 Red River flood. Applied Behavioral Science Review, 7, 83–101.

Wildfire

Crompton, R.P., McAneney, K.J., Chen, K., Pielke Jr., R.A., Haynes, K. (2010). Influence of Location, Population and Climate on Building Damage and Fatalities due to Australian Bushfire: 1925–2009. Weather, Climate, and Society, 2, 300–310.

Tornadoes & Severe Storms

Simmons, K.M., Sutter, D., Pielke Jr., R. (2013). Normalized tornado damage in the United States: 1950–2011. Environmental Hazards, 12(2), 132–147.
Simmons, K.M., Sutter, D., Pielke Jr., R. (2012). Blown away: monetary and human impacts of the 2011 U.S. tornadoes. Chapter 8, pp. 107–120, in Extreme events and insurance: 2011 annus horribilis (C. Courbage, W.R. Stahel, eds), The Geneva Reports: Risk and Insurance Research No. 5.

Disaster-Loss Trends (Cross-Hazard)

Pielke Jr., R.A. (2024). Scientific integrity and U.S. "Billion Dollar Disasters". npj Natural Hazards.
Pielke, R. (2020). Economic 'normalisation' of disaster losses 1998–2020: a literature review and assessment. Environmental Hazards, 20(2), 93–111.
McAneney, J., Sandercock, B., Crompton, R., Mortlock, T., Musulin, R., Pielke Jr., R., Gissing, A. (2019). Normalised insurance losses from Australian natural disasters: 1966–2017. Environmental Hazards.
Pielke Jr., R.A. (2019). Tracking Progress on the Economic Costs of Disasters Under the Indicators of the Sustainable Development Goals. Environmental Hazards, 18(1), 1–6.
McAneney, J., Crompton, R., Musulin, R., Walker, G., McAneney, D., Pielke Jr., R. (2014). Reflections on disaster loss trends, global climate change and insurance. pp. 26–33 in Applied Studies in Climate Adaptation (J.P. Palutikof et al., eds), John Wiley & Sons.
Mohleji, S., Pielke Jr., R.A. (2014). Reconciliation of Trends in Global and Regional Economic Losses from Weather Events: 1980–2008. Natural Hazards Review, 15(4), 04014009.
Vranes, K., Pielke Jr., R.A. (2009). Normalized Earthquake Damage and Fatalities in the United States: 1900–2005. Natural Hazards Review, 10(3), 84–101.
Bouwer, L.M., Crompton, R.P., Faust, E., Höppe, P., Pielke Jr., R.A. (2007). Confronting Disaster Losses. Science, 318(5851), 753.
Pielke Jr., R.A. (2006). Disasters, Death, and Destruction: Making Sense of Recent Calamities. Oceanography, 19, 138–147.
Changnon, S.A., Pielke, R.A., Changnon, D., Sylves, R.T., Pulwarty, R. (2000). Human factors explain the increased losses from weather and climate extremes. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 81(3), 437–442.
Meehl, G.A., Karl, T., Easterling, D.R., Changnon, S., Pielke, R., Changnon, D., Evans, J., Groisman, P.Y., Knutson, T.R., Kunkel, K.E., Mearns, L.O., Parmesan, C., Pulwarty, R., Root, T., Sylves, R.T., Whetton, P., Zwiers, F. (2000). An introduction to trends in extreme weather and climate events. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 81(3), 413–416.
Kunkel, K.E., Pielke, R.A., Changnon, S.A. (1999). Temporal fluctuations in weather and climate extremes that cause economic and human health impacts: A review. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 80(6), 1077–1098.